In order to assess what a hard cap would mean for the budget, the CBP modeled the impact of the cap described in ACA 19 (Villines) of 2008 if it had been enacted beginning with the 1995-96 budget.
Our analyses found that such a cap would have limited total state spending in 2008-09 to $39.7 billion below budgeted levels. The General Fund’s share of the necessary reductions would be $31.2 billion. What would it take to cut $31.2 billion out of the General Fund budget? Eliminating all General Fund support for higher education; the judiciary; child support services; health care services; resources – including fire protection; and environmental protection. Maybe that’s why the campaign to modify California’s original cap was led by then-Governor George Deukmejian, then California Chamber of Commerce president Kirk West, and then-California Taxpayers Association president Larry McCarthy.
— Jean Ross