Federal funds have long supported vital public services in California — from health care and food assistance to child care and higher education. These services are now in jeopardy due to threatened federal budget cuts and policy rollbacks, putting the health and well-being of millions of Californians at risk.
President Trump and congressional Republicans are seeking deep cuts to federal funding to help offset the cost of tax cuts for the wealthy and corporations. The Trump administration has already tried to cut spending through its unconstitutional funding freeze, which faces legal challenges. Additional spending cuts are being planned in the Republican-controlled Congress for adoption as soon as this spring.
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As highlighted in the table below, federal funding reductions could target a broad range of public services and systems, with substantial human and financial impacts at the state and local levels. The funding cuts under consideration would:
Destabilize California’s state budget. Federal funds make up over one-third of the state budget — totaling $170 billion under current state estimates. Most of these federal dollars support Medi-Cal (California’s Medicaid program), which provides health coverage to more than 14 million Californians. Republican proposals to slash support for Medicaid could reduce annual federal funding for California by $10-$20 billion or more. Cuts of this magnitude would create a massive budget hole that would force state leaders to make painful spending cuts — cuts that would jeopardize Californians’ access to health care through Medi-Cal as well as threaten other state services and systems.
Devastate vital services that help vulnerable Californians make ends meet. In addition to the Medicaid program, federal policymakers could target SNAP food assistance (CalFresh in California), cash assistance for older adults and people with disabilities (SSI), housing supports, child care, and other safety net programs that together support millions of Californians. This includes immigrant communities, Californians with disabilities, low-income families with young children, older adults living on fixed incomes, and many more.
Erode critical funding for California’s local jurisdictions. Counties, cities, and special districts rely on federal funding to support the services that they deliver to their residents. Counties, for example, operate health and safety net programs on behalf of the state, with federal funding making up a large share of the funds that counties receive for this purpose. County officials are particularly concerned about Trump’s unconstitutional funding freeze, which they have called “an evolving situation with potentially significant impacts to funding that counties utilize to serve communities.”
One thing is clear: These Republican-proposed cuts would harm millions of Californians, all to bankroll tax cuts for corporations and the wealthy, who are already thriving.
Note: Reflects federal funds the state is projected to receive in 2025-26 that will flow through the Department of Health Care Services to support Medi-Cal benefits. This estimate is as of the governor’s proposed 2025-26 budget.
Note: Reflects a preliminary estimate of the number of people enrolled in Medi-Cal in September 2024, rounded down to the nearest 100,000.
CalFresh: Federal Funds
Source: California Department of Social Services, Local Assistance Estimate, Estimate Methodologies, Fiscal Year 2024-25, 181
Note: Spending levels only capture CalFresh and California Food Assistance Program (CFAP) benefits, not administrative and other similar costs.
CalFresh: Scope of Impact
Source: Budget Center analysis of California Department of Social Services, CF 256 – Food Stamp Program Participation and Benefit Issuance Report data, Fiscal Year 2023-24
Note: The figure captures the average monthly total of children and adults receiving CalFresh, inclusive of the California Food Assistance Program (CFAP), July 2023 and April 2024.
SSI/SSP: Federal Funds
Source: California Department of Social Services, Local Assistance Estimate, Estimate Methodologies, Fiscal Year 2023-24, 238-242
Note: Spending levels only capture SSI/SSP grants, not administrative and other similar costs.
Source: Budget Center analysis of data from the California Department of Finance, California Department of Education, and California Department of Social Services
Note: Child care programs include all CalWORKs and non-CalWORKs programs. This figure excludes Transitional Kindergarten.
Child Care & Development Programs: Scope of Impact
Source: California Department of Social Services and California Community Colleges Chancellor’s Office
Note: Enrollment is for children from birth through age 12 in October 2023, except for California Community College CalWORKs Stage Two, which reflects a California Community Colleges Chancellor’s Office estimate for the fall 2023 school term. Excludes children enrolled in the California State Preschool Program or the Handicapped Child Care Program.
Head Start and Early Head Start: Federal Funds and Scope of Impact
Source: 2023–2024 Program Information Report data pulled on Oct. 21, 2024, and administrative funding data from the Office of Head Start.
CalWORKs: Federal Funds
Source: California Department of Social Services, Local Assistance Estimate, Estimate Methodologies, Fiscal Year 2023-24, 13
Note: Spending levels only capture CalFresh and California Food Assistance Program benefits, not administrative and other similar costs.
CalWORKs: Scope of Impact
Source: Budget Center analysis of California Department of Social Services, CA 237 CW – CalWORKs Cash Grant Caseload Movement Report data, Fiscal Year 2023-24
Note: The figure captures the average monthly total of children and adults receiving a CalWORKs cash grant between July and November 2023.
Note: Reflects federal funds the state is projected to receive in 2025-26 that will flow through the California Department of Housing and Community Development, estimated as of the governor’s proposed 2025-26 budget.
Note: Reflects federal funds the state is projected to receive in 2025-26 for TK-12 schools and related public education purposes, estimated as of the governor’s proposed 2025-26 budget.
TK-12 Schools: Scope of Impact
Source: California Department of Education
Note: Number of students is for the 2023-24 school year.
Note: Reflects federal funds the state is projected to receive in 2025-26 for the California Community Colleges, the California State University, the University of California, and other higher education purposes, estimated as of the governor’s proposed 2025-26 budget.
Higher Education: Scope of Impact
Source: California Community Colleges, California State University, and University of California Fall 2023 Enrollment
Note: Federal funding reflects “Intergovernmental – Federal” dollars that counties received in the aggregate in 2022-23, the most recent fiscal year for which data are available. Aggregate federal funding excludes the City and County of San Francisco, which reports as a city.
Note: Federal funding reflects “Intergovernmental – Federal” dollars that cities received in the aggregate in 2022-23, the most recent fiscal year for which data are available.
Note: Federal funding reflects “Intergovernmental – Federal” dollars that special districts received in the aggregate in 2022-23, the most recent fiscal year for which data are available.
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Secure Your Spot!
Join us in Sacramento on April 10, 2025 for engaging sessions, workshops, and networking opportunities with fellow changemakers, inspiring speakers, and much more.