Skip to content

The Budget Center hosted a webinar designed to help advocates and other Californians to better understand how the budget and policy bill processes are related and how to work within them to advance public policy changes.

View webinar slide deck. 

View the webinar recording:

As part of our Policy Perspectives Speakers Series, this webinar featured three seasoned public policy advocates who shared their insights and experiences as well as best practices related to navigating the state budget and policy bill processes:

  • Jessica Bartholow, Policy Advocate, Western Center on Law & Poverty
  • Ronald E. Coleman, Director of Policy and Legislative Advocacy, Health Access California
  • Tia Orr, Director of Government Relations, SEIU California

In addition, Scott Graves, the Budget Center’s Director of Research,  provided a brief description of the budget and policy bill processes and highlighed key factors that help to determine whether a proposal moves through the Legislature on the policy bill track or the budget track (or both). Scott’s comments drew from our latest guide, Dollars and Democracy: Understanding How the State Budget Process Relates to the Policy Bill Process.

Learn more about our Policy Perspectives Speaker Series.

Stay in the know.

Join our email list!

As part of our Policy Perspectives Speakers Series, the Budget Center hosted a special webinar briefing that looked at the significant unmet need for subsidized child care and development programs in our state. This webinar featured three experts on California’s subsidized child care system discussing the importance of child care assistance for our state’s children and families and how Governor Newsom’s budget plans to invest in these vital programs. These experts included:

  • Erin Gabel, Deputy Director, External and Governmental Affairs Office, First 5 California
  • Mary Ignatius, Statewide Organizer, Parent Voices
  • Kristin Schumacher, Senior Policy Analyst, California Budget & Policy Center

View the presentation slide deck. 

View the Fact Sheets on eligibility for subsidized child care by age, as well as by race and ethnicity, highlighted during the webinar.

View the webinar recording:

Learn more about our Policy Perspectives Speaker Series.

Stay in the know.

Join our email list!

For First 5 Contra Costa’s Family Economic Security Partnership meeting, Director of Research Scott Graves presented on the 2019-20 state budget proposal and prospects for reducing poverty and improving economic security.

Stay in the know.

Join our email list!

Download the PDF version of this Fact Sheet.

Support for this Fact Sheet was provided by First 5 California.

Child care keeps parents working and families afloat, yet the high cost of care across California often forces parents to make difficult choices about who cares for their child while they go to work. This can be detrimental for families with low incomes, who often struggle to simply afford the basics. California’s subsidized child care and development system is designed to serve families with low and moderate incomes, but there are far more children eligible for subsidized child care than what is funded by the state and federal governments.[1] This means that families with few resources are often unable to secure affordable care for their children.

In 2017, just 1 in 9 children eligible for subsidized child care and development programs in California were enrolled in a program that could accommodate families for more than a couple hours per day and throughout the entire year.[2] According to a Budget Center analysis of federal survey data, an estimated 2 million children from birth through age 12 were eligible for care, but only 228,100 were able to participate in a subsidized full-day, full-year program.[3] This mismatch between eligibility for care and available spaces largely reflects inadequate state and federal funding. Moreover, decades of wage stagnation has dampened families’ incomes, making it difficult to afford the high cost of child care.[4] In fact, in 2017, roughly 1 out of 3 California workers with children earned low wages. [5]

State and federal policymakers have begun to increase funding for subsidized child care and development programs in recent years.[6] In California, policymakers have incrementally increased the number of spaces for children and boosted provider payment rates. State policymakers also took an important step forward by updating the decade-old income eligibility limits and implementing a 12-month eligibility period. These positive changes were long overdue and allow families to retain subsidized care for their children while they build a secure economic foundation for their families. However, these changes also mean that the small share of families receiving care remain eligible for longer periods of time, while substantially more families have become eligible. Without additional investments in new spaces for children, these changes could further limit access for low-income families.

Governor Newsom’s proposed 2019-20 budget includes a large investment in young children. However, while the proposal expands full-day, full-year preschool and sets aside hundreds of millions of dollars in one-time funding for subsidized child care facilities and teacher training, it does not immediately expand access to subsidized child care programs for children from low- and moderate-income families, instead signaling that the Administration intends to significantly expand the number of children served in the years ahead. Since some parents have been waiting for child care for years, substantial investment in California’s subsidized child care and development system must include increased access to child care programs for children and families.

This analysis is the first part of a multiphase effort to analyze subsidized child care and development programs in California. Future phases of this work will examine the unmet need for subsidized child care across different age groups and by race and ethnicity.


[1] Families are eligible for subsidized child care if the child who would receive care is under the age of 13; the family establishes an appropriate eligibility status, such as by having an income below the limit set by the state; and the family demonstrates a need for care, such as parental employment. Families generally must meet the same income guidelines applicable to child care to qualify for the California State Preschool Program (CSPP), which is funded solely with state dollars. State law, however, allows up to 10% of families in the state preschool program to have incomes up to 15% above the income eligibility limit, but only after all other eligible children have been enrolled. The CSPP is a part-day program offered for roughly nine months of the year. Some children receive “wraparound” services that provide subsidized child care for the remainder of the day and throughout the entire year. To be eligible for the full-day CSPP, families generally must meet the same guidelines regarding eligibility status that are applicable to subsidized child care.

[2] Budget Center analysis of US Census Bureau, American Community Survey data. Data limitations likely result in a conservative estimate of the number of children in California who are eligible for subsidized child care. For more information about the methodology used to calculate this estimate, see the Technical Appendix.

[3] The 228,100 figure reflects children enrolled in the full-day CSPP or in one of the following subsidized child care programs: Alternative Payment Program; CalWORKs Stages One, Two, or Three; Family Child Care Home Network; General Child Care; and the Migrant Child Care and Development Program. Enrollment is for October 2017, except for California Community College CalWORKs Stage Two, which reflects a Department of Finance estimate for the 2017-18 fiscal year. This analysis also includes the full-day CSPP, which consists of part-day preschool and “wraparound” child care, because it accommodates many — although not all — families’ work schedules throughout the year, and thus approximates the experience that a child would have in a subsidized child care program. In contrast, this analysis excludes roughly 97,000 children who were enrolled in the part-day CSPP, without access to wraparound child care, in October 2017. This is because most families with low and moderate incomes likely need wraparound care in order to supplement the CSPP’s part-day, part-year schedule. This analysis reports enrollment data for a single month — as opposed to a monthly average for 2017 — because the California Department of Education (CDE) does not typically separate part-day and full-day CSPP enrollment when reporting monthly averages for a single fiscal year. The CDE also states, “Caution should be used when interpreting monthly averages as some programs do not operate at full capacity throughout the entire year (e.g., State Preschool) while other programs have seasonal fluctuations in enrollment (e.g., Migrant Child Care).” Finally, the data are for October 2017 because the CDE’s point-in-time reports are only available for the month of October.

[4] See Amy Rose, Modest Gains for California’s Low- and Midwage Workers (California Budget & Policy Center: January 2018).

[5] Estimate based on data from the University of California Berkeley Labor Center, Low-Wage Work in California (August 2018). “Low wage” is defined as earning less than $14.35 per hour.

[6] Kristin Schumacher, Dollars for Child Care and Preschool in 2018-19 Near Pre-Recession Levels With Boost From One-Time Funding (California Budget & Policy Center: September 2018).

Stay in the know.

Join our email list!

For the California Alternative Payment Program Association’s Child Care Advocacy Day, Senior Policy Analyst Kristin Schumacher presented on what’s included in Governor Newsom’s 2019-20 state budget proposal that will impact families and children.

Stay in the know.

Join our email list!

For EveryChild California’s annual state budget update, Senior Policy Analyst Kristin Schumacher presented on funding for early care and education in the 2019-20 state budget proposal.

Stay in the know.

Join our email list!

Executive Summary

On January 10, Governor Gavin Newsom released a proposed 2019-20 budget that calls for a series of bold and smart investments in broadening economic security and opportunity for Californians, while continuing to strengthen the state’s underlying fiscal health.

The Governor forecasts revenues that are $8.1 billion higher (over a three-year “budget window” from 2017-18 to 2019-20) than previously projected in the 2018-19 budget enacted last June, driven largely by continued economic growth.

The Governor’s proposal includes a range of significant expansions in support of low- and middle-income Californians who are struggling to make ends meet and access greater economic opportunity, including doubling the state’s Earned Income Tax Credit, working toward universal preschool for 4-year olds, investing in child care infrastructure, expanding health care to move closer to universal coverage, expanding paid family leave, boosting CalWORKs grants, and increasing investment in state higher education systems. Recognizing that high housing costs contribute to California’s high poverty rate, Governor Newsom also proposes a mix of policies and an expanded state role to address housing needs and homelessness. These policies would make California more affordable and more equitable for millions of Californians.

Many of the Governor’s proposals — such as child care and housing — use one-time investments in 2019-20 to lay a foundation for significant build-out of public supports over the next several years.

Confronted by federal challenges to Californians and their communities, the budget proposal calls for investments to support immigrants, improve state and local emergency preparedness, and ensure that the 2020 census is as accurate as possible.

Recognizing that California is experiencing a period of sustained economic growth and a positive revenue outlook, the budget proposal also calls for paying down debts and building up reserves. These proposals, in combination with one-time and ongoing investments, represent a balanced approach to managing the state’s fiscal health.

The following sections summarize key provisions of the Governor’s proposed 2019-20 budget.

Download full report (PDF) or use the links below to browse individual sections of this report:

Economic and Revenue Conditions

Children and Families

Economic Security

Health

Education

Other Key Priorities in the Proposed Budget

Economic and Revenue Conditions

Governor Expects Economic Growth to Continue, Albeit at a More Moderate Pace

The Governor’s proposed budget assumes that the current economic expansion continues in the near-term, albeit at a more moderate pace than in recent years. Specifically, the Administration projects that national economic growth, as measured by the change in Gross Domestic Product (GDP), will begin to moderate this year and then gradually slow each subsequent year through 2022, the end of the forecast period. The Administration also expects economic growth to slow in California during this period.

In terms of California’s labor market, the Governor’s forecast assumes steady job growth that continues to increase the state’s labor force participation rate and maintains the state’s unemployment rate at historically low levels. The forecast notes that low unemployment in 2018 failed to translate into significant wage increases thus far, other than for high-income earners, but anticipates that more workers will begin to see real wage increases this year.

The proposed budget summary outlines several risks to the Governor’s projections for California’s economic growth. These include a number of national factors, such as a large drop in the stock market, which has been experiencing significant fluctuations since last year; a national recession, which could come at a time when many people have not yet recovered from the previous downturn and when the federal government is not well-positioned to ramp up spending to mitigate its damage; and the ongoing trade war with China, California’s third-largest trading partner. Additionally, the Governor’s forecast notes that California will need to address the aging population, declining birth rates, and insufficient housing supply in order for the state’s economic growth to continue.

Back to Top

Revenue Forecast Reflects Continued Economic Growth

The proposed budget assumes increases in revenues over the three-year “budget window,” from 2017-18 to 2019-20, while acknowledging that rising risks to the state’s economic outlook could affect the revenue forecast.

The Governor’s proposal projects General Fund revenues for the budget window to exceed the projections in the enacted 2018-19 budget package by $8.1 billion, before accounting for transfers such as deposits into the rainy day fund. This includes higher-than-expected revenues from the personal income tax (PIT) and the corporation tax (CT), partially offset by lower-than-expected revenues from the sales and use tax (SUT). Together, these three taxes are expected to comprise almost 97% of General Fund revenues in the proposed 2019-20 budget.

PIT revenues are projected to be $7.5 billion higher over the three-year budget window than estimated in the 2018-19 budget agreement, reflecting strong growth in wages and capital gains, particularly among high-income taxpayers. SUT revenues are expected to be $1.4 billion lower, primarily because a spike in business investment that was anticipated due to last year’s changes to federal tax law did not occur. Additionally, the lower SUT projection reflects consumer spending restraints due to high housing costs and the continued erosion of the state’s sales tax base. CT revenues are estimated to be $1.3 billion higher over the budget window, though the budget proposal warns this is expected to be a one-time increase largely resulting from shifts in the timing of corporate tax payments.

Back to Top

Governor’s Budget Proposal Continues to Build Up Reserves to Bolster State Fiscal Resilience

California voters approved Proposition 2 in November 2014, amending the California Constitution to revise the rules for the state’s Budget Stabilization Account (BSA), commonly referred to as the rainy day fund. Prop. 2 requires an annual set-aside equal to 1.5% of estimated General Fund revenues. An additional set-aside is required when capital gains revenues in a given year exceed 8% of General Fund tax revenues. For 15 years — from 2015-16 to 2029-30 — half of these funds must be deposited into the rainy day fund and the other half is to be used to reduce certain state liabilities (also known as “budgetary debt”).

The Governor’s proposed budget includes a transfer of $1.8 billion to the BSA for 2019-20, bringing the reserve’s balance to $15.3 billion by the end of the fiscal year. Prop. 2 requires that when the BSA balance has reached its constitutional maximum of 10% of General Fund tax revenues, any additional dollars that would otherwise go into the BSA must be spent on infrastructure, including spending on deferred maintenance. However, while the BSA has reached this maximum, the Governor’s budget assumes that constitutionally required deposits will continue to be made since the account’s maximum balance was achieved in part through supplemental payments in prior years. This assumption is based on an opinion by the Legislative Counsel, but could be subject to a legal challenge.

The BSA is not California’s only reserve fund. Each year, the state deposits additional funds into a “Special Fund for Economic Uncertainties” (SFEU). The Governor’s proposed budget assumes an SFEU balance of $2.3 billion. Additionally, the 2018-19 budget agreement created the Safety Net Reserve Fund, which holds funds that can be used to maintain benefits and services for CalWORKs and Medi-Cal participants in the event of an economic downturn. The Governor proposes depositing $700 million into the Safety Net Reserve, bringing the fund’s balance to $900 million. Taking into account the BSA, SFEU, and the Safety Net Reserve, the Governor’s proposal would build state reserves to a total of $18.5 billion in 2019-20.

Back to Top

Governor’s Budget Proposal Prioritizes Paying Down Debts

The Governor’s proposed 2019-20 budget prioritizes paying down state and local unfunded pension liabilities and paying off outstanding budgetary debt incurred during the Great Recession and its aftermath.

The budget proposal includes required and supplemental contributions to two state-run retirement systems: the California Public Employees’ Retirement System (CalPERS) and the California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS). CalPERS and CalSTRS, like many retirement systems, are not funded at levels that will keep up with future benefits, resulting in the state needing to make higher annual contributions in order to pay down unfunded liabilities.

Beyond statutorily required contributions, the Governor’s proposed budget includes a $3 billion supplemental pension payment to CalPERS that would be made in the current fiscal year (2018-19). The budget proposal also devotes an additional $390 million to CalPERS in 2019-20 from Proposition 2 funds (see Reserves section) that are required to be set aside for reducing state liabilities.

In the case of CalSTRS, the budget proposal devotes an additional $1.1 billion, beyond statutory requirements, toward the state’s share of CalSTRS unfunded liabilities. The $1.1 billion comes from Prop. 2 funds (see Reserves section) that are required to be set aside for reducing state liabilities. The Governor’s proposal notes that the $1.1 billion is the “first installment of an estimated $2.9 billion to be paid to CalSTRS through 2022-23” using available Prop. 2 dollars.

In addition, the Governor’s proposal includes a one-time $3 billion non-Proposition 98 payment to CalSTRS to reduce the employers’ (local educational agencies and community colleges) share of unfunded liabilities in response to prior changes in contribution levels and pressures confronting employers. In 2014, the state enacted AB 1469, increasing the share of CalSTRS costs borne by all parties (the state, employers, and teachers), but particularly increasing the contribution rate of employers. Confronting a series of other pressures, including enrollment decline and increases in the costs of local services, some local educational agencies are in danger of not being able to meet their financial obligations. The Governor’s proposal would provide $2.3 billion toward the employers’ share of the unfunded liability for the CalSTRS Defined Benefit Program. The Governor proposes to use the remaining $700 million to reduce the required contributions by employers in 2019-20 and 2020-21. Overall, the proposed $3 billion supplemental payment would free up — in the short term as well as the long term — local dollars for investment in education or to allow employers to pay down retirement obligations.

The Governor’s proposed 2019-20 budget also includes more than $4 billion to pay off outstanding budgetary debts incurred during the Great Recession, including $2.4 billion to eliminate outstanding loans from special funds and transportation accounts and a total of $1.7 billion to eliminate a one-month deferral of payroll from nine years ago and a deferred payment to CalPERS from over a decade ago.

Back to Top

Children and Families

Governor Boosts Funding for Child Care Infrastructure, While Not Providing Additional Access to Subsidized Care

Subsidized child care allows parents with low and moderate incomes to find jobs and remain employed, feeling secure that their children have a safe space to learn and grow. These programs provide a critical service, keeping families across California afloat. Currently, subsidized child care programs serve far fewer children than they did ten years ago. While policymakers have made incremental investments in early care and education in recent years, investments to serve more children have been targeted to the California State Preschool Program, just one component of California’s subsidized child care and development system.

The Governor’s proposed budget signals a commitment to expand access to subsidized child care in future years by funding child care infrastructure in 2019-20. Specifically, the budget proposal:

  • Provides $245 million one-time General Fund for child care facilities. The state currently operates three programs that provide funding for child care facilities including a loan program for portable facilities, loans for facility repair and renovation, and, most recently, the new Inclusive Early Education Expansion Program funded in the 2018-19 budget agreement with $167 million in one-time Prop. 98 funding. The proposal does not indicate if this funding would augment existing facility funding programs or create a new program.
  • Provides $245 million one-time General Fund for child care workforce development. The administration’s stated goal is to “improve the quality of care” by investing in the education of the child care providers. Details about how this will be allocated are not available.
  • Improves and expands child care facilities on university campuses with $247 million in one-time General Fund. The proposed budget boosts resources for the California State University (CSU) in order to add more child care facilities to serve students with children. This is aligned with the administration’s proposal to also increase financial aid for student parents. (See the Student Aid section.) These funds could also be used for deferred maintenance, but it is not clear if this is deferred maintenance on child care facilities or on other CSU facilities.
  • Provides $10 million General Fund to develop a plan to increase access to subsidized child care. As mentioned in the Early Learning section, the budget proposal also includes $10 million General Fund to pay a contractor to create a plan in the 2019-20 fiscal year to address a wide variety of issues such as universal preschool, facility capacity, workforce training, access to subsidized child care, and potential revenue options for the subsidized child care and development system.

The budget proposal signals a commitment to serve more families in future years, by setting aside hundreds of millions in one-time funding for subsidized child care infrastructure in the 2019-20 fiscal year. Yet, despite this historically large proposed increase, the proposal does not provide more low- and moderate-income families with access to subsidized child care, despite years-long waiting lists.

Back to Top

Stay in the know.

Join our email list!